[Solved] Statement: "Meteorologists expect winter temperatures to be warmer than average."Assumptions:1️⃣ Long-term warming trends will persist.... | Reasoning Ability

Reasoning Ability - Statement & Assumption

Statement: "Meteorologists expect winter temperatures to be warmer than average."
Assumptions:
1️⃣ Long-term warming trends will persist.
2️⃣ A massive volcanic eruption will occur and cool the climate sharply.
Which assumption(s) is/are implicit?

AOnly 2

BOnly 1

CBoth 1 and 2

DNeither 1 nor 2

Step-by-Step Solution

Step 1: Identify forecast assumption
Warmer winter forecast follows ongoing warming trends and lack of large cooling events.
Step 2: Evaluate assumptions
Assumption 1 — continued warming trend — implicit. Assumption 2 — a large volcanic cooling event — would contradict the prediction and is not implied.
Final Answer:
Only 1 is implicit. → Option B
Quick Check:
Presence of a cooling eruption would falsify the forecast; its absence is implicitly assumed ✅

Quick Trick: Predictions assume trend persistence and absence of rare extremes.

Common Mistakes:

Counting low-probability counter-events as implicit assumptions.

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More Reasoning Ability Quizzes

Which assumption(s) is/are implicit?

Step 1: Identify forecast assumption

Step 2: Evaluate assumptions

Final Answer:

Quick Check:

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